八、Deductive and Inductive Argument
演绎论证和归纳论证
1.演绎论证（从广泛到个例）
Conclusion necessarily follows from premises.
→形式和过程是否合理
Assuming the premises be ture, does the conclusion follow?
(valid有效 [sound 前提和论证都真 or unsound 前提不真]
or
invalid)
2.归纳论证（从个例到广泛）
Conclusion probably follows from premises.
→可能性有多高
（weak
or
strong）
看3：50时的课件吧，更清晰。。
e.p. of weak inductive argument:
1.overgeneralization
"Two things are infinite: the universe and human stupidity; and I'm not sure about the universe. -Albert Einstein"
世人在我面前皆愚蠢，但不一定世人在别人面前也都是愚蠢的。
“Be who you are and say what you feel, because those who mind don't matter, and those who matter don't mind. -Bernard M.Baruch”
既matter又mind ：你老板，你老爸老妈......
2.anomalies 看名人传记,所以就去做名人做过的事
3.false causality 以其中的一个影响因素概括了全部因素
